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Pakistan at the Heart of a High-Stakes Global Chess Game

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Paris (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY) :- Former Press Secretary to the President, Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France, Former MD, SRBC Mr. Qamar Bashir analysis : The flames of war that engulfed the Middle East in recent weeks carried within them the terrifying potential to redraw the map of the world through destruction. What began as a regional confrontation between the United States, Israel, and Iran rapidly escalated into a crisis with global consequences. Military rhetoric crossed dangerous thresholds, with open threats targeting Iran’s critical infrastructure—its nuclear facilities, power grids, bridges, and military backbone—raising fears of a full-spectrum assault designed to force submission.
Had such an operation been executed, the consequences would have been catastrophic. Iran, with its vast missile arsenal and advanced drone capabilities—and widely believed to be at the threshold of nuclear capability—would not have remained passive. A retaliatory strike on Israel could have unleashed unprecedented destruction, targeting cities, strategic installations, and possibly even triggering a nuclear exchange. Gulf states hosting U.S. bases would have become immediate targets, dragging Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Bahrain into direct conflict. The Strait of Hormuz—the artery through which nearly 20 percent of the world’s oil flows—would almost certainly have been shut down.
The economic consequences alone would have been devastating. Iran’s infrastructure losses could have ranged between $500 billion and $1 trillion. Israel, under sustained retaliation, might have faced damages of $150 billion to $300 billion. The Gulf economies, dependent on energy exports and stability, could have suffered losses exceeding $1 trillion. For the United States, prolonged military engagement combined with economic fallout—rising oil prices, inflation, and market disruption—could have pushed total losses beyond $2 trillion. Globally, the shutdown of Hormuz and the collapse of energy supply chains could have triggered a shock of $3 to $5 trillion, bringing total worldwide losses into the staggering range of $5 to $10 trillion.
Beyond numbers, the human and civilizational cost would have been immeasurable. A region that carries millennia of history—Persian, Arab, Islamic, and global heritage—could have been reduced to rubble. Under international law, threats to destroy an entire civilization are not merely rhetoric; they raise grave concerns under the Genocide Convention and the laws governing armed conflict. The world was not just approaching war—it was approaching the edge of irreversible devastation.
At that moment, when diplomacy appeared exhausted and escalation seemed inevitable, an unexpected actor emerged to alter the course of events. Pakistan, often underestimated in global strategic discourse, stepped into the center of the geopolitical chessboard. It was not the wealthiest nation, nor the most militarily dominant, but it possessed something far more decisive in that moment: access, credibility, and the ability to communicate with all sides.
Pakistan’s intervention was deliberate, sustained, and executed under extreme pressure. Its leadership maintained simultaneous engagement with Washington, Tehran, Riyadh, Ankara, and Beijing—building a web of communication when mistrust had paralyzed direct dialogue. The challenge was unprecedented: active hostilities, hardened positions, and a rapidly shrinking window before irreversible escalation.
In the final hours, direct engagement with decision-makers in the United States proved decisive. As military deadlines approached and the threat of devastating strikes loomed, Pakistan urged restraint. That call was not ignored. A pause was granted, opening the narrowest window for diplomacy to take hold.
At the same time, Pakistan leveraged its credibility with Iran. Convincing Tehran to accept a ceasefire required overcoming deep suspicion and fear of strategic deception. The ceasefire was framed not as submission, but as a tactical pause—one that preserved sovereignty while preventing catastrophic loss. This delicate balance could only be achieved by a state trusted by both sides, and Pakistan fulfilled that role.
The diplomatic architecture that followed was equally significant. Pakistan facilitated broader alignment by engaging China, whose influence provided additional assurance to Iran. Regional powers were brought into the process, reinforcing momentum toward de-escalation. In this intricate framework, Pakistan acted as the central connector—linking adversaries, global powers, and regional actors into a single, fragile but functional process.
The outcome was a breakthrough that few had considered possible. A ceasefire was secured at the last possible moment. Oil markets stabilized, global panic subsided, and the world stepped back from the brink. More importantly, a pathway to dialogue was established, with negotiations shifting to Islamabad—transforming Pakistan into the epicenter of high-stakes diplomacy.
This moment marked a profound shift in Pakistan’s global standing. A country often viewed through the prism of regional challenges had demonstrated its capacity to operate at the highest level of international diplomacy, managing a crisis involving nuclear-capable adversaries under active conflict conditions.
The significance of this achievement extends beyond the Middle East. It has reshaped perceptions across the region, particularly in South Asia. In India, Pakistan’s emergence as a central diplomatic actor has triggered a wave of political and media reaction. Sections of the Indian media have expressed visible frustration, portraying Pakistan’s role as an unexpected and uncomfortable development in a domain where India has long sought recognition as a rising global power.
Political opposition within India has reportedly questioned the government’s relative absence from this critical geopolitical moment. The narrative gaining traction is one of missed opportunity—where India, despite its economic and strategic ambitions, found itself on the sidelines while Pakistan occupied the diplomatic center stage. Commentators and analysts have debated whether India’s foreign policy posture—often perceived as aligned with specific blocs—limited its ability to act as a neutral mediator in a conflict requiring balanced engagement with all sides.
This contrast has amplified the perception of Pakistan’s diplomatic success. While Islamabad engaged across divides, maintaining working relationships with both Western and regional powers, India’s position appeared more constrained. The result has been a rare reversal in regional diplomatic optics, where Pakistan is viewed as a facilitator of peace while India faces scrutiny over its strategic positioning.
Meanwhile, Pakistan’s role has continued beyond the ceasefire. Diplomatic channels remain active to ensure the truce holds and to prevent escalation in secondary theaters such as Lebanon. The effort now is not only to sustain the ceasefire but to transform it into a durable peace framework—an undertaking far more complex than securing the initial pause in hostilities.
This evolving role reflects a deeper transformation. Pakistan has moved from being a participant in regional dynamics to becoming a platform for resolving them. It has demonstrated that influence in the modern world is not solely a function of economic size or military strength, but of trust, access, and the ability to act decisively in moments of crisis.
The road ahead remains uncertain. The ceasefire is fragile, and the underlying issues remain unresolved. Yet the immediate danger—the descent into a war that could have caused trillions in damage and untold human suffering—has been averted.
History often remembers the moments when destruction was prevented rather than inflicted. At a time when powerful nations were speaking the language of annihilation, Pakistan spoke the language of restraint and negotiation. It convinced adversaries to pause, brought them to the table, and created a pathway where none existed.
If the current process leads to lasting peace, this moment will be recorded as a turning point—not only in the conflict itself, but in the evolution of global diplomacy. And at the center of that transformation will stand Pakistan, a nation that, against all expectations, helped steer the world away from the brink of catastrophe and toward the possibility of peace.

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Quetta’s Daughter, Pakistan’s Pride

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Paris (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY) :- Former Press Secretary to the President, Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France, Former MD, SRBC Mr. Qamar Bashir analysis : While browsing today’s international news, one story stopped me and filled my heart with both pride and anguish: Jalila Haider, a Hazara woman born, raised and educated in my hometown, Quetta, has won the 2026 Right Livelihood Award, announced today, September 30. Presented by the Stockholm-based Right Livelihood Award Foundation, the distinction is widely known as the “Alternative Nobel Prize,”.
This year, just four recipients—two women and two women-led organizations—were selected from 200 nominations across 72 countries. Haider was recognized for challenging ethnic persecution, state repression and discrimination against women through her legal work and activism.
For recipients, such recognition brings international visibility to their struggles and strengthens their ability to rally support; for Pakistan, Haider’s achievement highlights the courage and humanity of citizens defending its most vulnerable communities.
Amid reports of conflict and suffering, here was a Pakistani woman honored for standing beside people whom violence and indifference had pushed into the shadows. The news brought pride, but also anguish over the injustices that made her work necessary—and memories of a city whose humanity I once knew intimately.
Quetta, nestled like a bowl among towering hills, was beautiful for more than its landscape and refreshing weather. During my years of education, from 1970 to 1984, its greatest attraction was the fellowship between its communities. In the Quetta I remember, differences of ethnicity, language and religious tradition did not prevent friendship. We studied, played and visited one another, sharing a city that felt like home to us all.
I watched Hazara families advance through education, commerce, public service and sport. Their businesses grew, their young people distinguished themselves, and their contribution became woven into Quetta’s everyday life. Their achievements enriched the city. Remembering that shared life makes the subsequent persecution especially painful: people who helped build our hometown were increasingly denied the freedom to live safely within it.
I witnessed that atmosphere deteriorate as the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979 drew our region into confrontation between Moscow and Washington. In my observation, foreign ideological rivalries, money and weapons deepened divisions among people who had lived together. I saw resentment grow around Hazara and Punjabi advancement in commerce and public employment. These memories carry the pain we shared as neighbours: the gradual destruction of trust, followed by violence against familiar families.
The consequences were merciless. Hazaras were attacked in markets, on roads and while travelling to worship. Human Rights Watch recorded that two major bombings in Quetta in January and February 2013 killed at least 180 Hazaras. Such figures describe the scale, but cannot convey the anguish within each household. Every victim left relationships, responsibilities and hopes that no compensation or official condolence could restore.
For me, this tragedy has a familiar face: Abrar Hussain, the celebrated Hazara boxer who trained us during our school and college years. He brought distinction to Pakistan in international competition. When I later served in Quetta as deputy income tax commissioner, I knew him in his sports administration role. In June 2011, he was murdered in the city he had served. A man who strengthened Pakistan’s reputation abroad could not be protected at home.
Fear drove families away from their neighbourhoods, livelihoods and memories. Some sought safety elsewhere in Pakistan; others rebuilt their lives overseas, including in Australia. Those who remained faced restricted movement and shrinking opportunities. The loss extended beyond households. Quetta itself was diminished whenever a family left because it could no longer trust that its children would return safely from school, work or the market.
This was the environment in which Jalila Haider chose to stand her ground. Born in 1984, she lost her father when she was twelve. Her mother raised six children and supported her determination to study law. In 2010, she earned her degree from University Law College, Quetta, becoming the first woman lawyer from Pakistan’s Hazara community. Behind that achievement stood a mother’s resolve and a daughter’s refusal to surrender.
Her legal practice, established in 2011, became a refuge for people whose cases others considered dangerous or unrewarding. According to her award biography, her firm has handled more than 7,000 cases and helped restore freedom of movement to more than 600 political activists and human rights defenders. She has represented women seeking divorce, custody and inheritance rights, alongside refugees, transgender people and those facing wrongful accusations.
The dangers were personal. She survived the 2016 bombing that devastated Balochistan’s legal community. She has endured detention, online harassment and death threats. Nevertheless, she continued appearing for people whose vulnerability often made them easy to abandon. In a setting where professional advancement can reward silence, her willingness to accept difficult cases gave frightened families someone prepared to listen and act.
In 2018, she carried that determination into a seven-day hunger strike against the targeted killing of Hazaras. She demanded direct engagement from the army chief, refusing to accept assurances from officials unable to deliver security. The protest brought negotiations between the military leadership and Hazara women. The award foundation credits it with contributing to a sustained decline in attacks, although the community’s insecurity and displacement remained unresolved.
Her work also recognises that justice requires the means to survive. Through We the Humans, founded in 2015, she has helped more than 400 widows of terrorism victims gain financial independence. Rug weaving, childcare, education and literacy support connect income with dignity. A widow able to support her children acquires something beyond financial relief: greater freedom to make decisions about her family’s future.
As a founding member of the Women’s Democratic Front, Haider also helped pioneer Balochistan’s first Women’s March. Her advocacy reaches women facing forced marriage and honour violence, crossing the boundaries of her own community. That breadth matters. Having experienced persecution, she has refused to make another person’s ethnicity or identity a condition for receiving help.
Pakistan owes women like her more than ceremonial praise. They need protection, functioning courts and institutions that respond before desperation forces a hunger strike. Their work reveals both the courage within our society and the distance between constitutional promises and everyday experience. Supporting them would allow more families to recover the ordinary security that violence has stolen.
Pakistan is too often viewed through an unfavourable lens in the international media, with few stories allowing its humanity and courage to shine. Finding Jalila Haider’s recognition among the day’s top ten world news stories filled my heart with pride, even as it revived the agony of everything our Hazara community has endured.
May this honour bring her greater dignity, respect and protection, and inspire many more Jalila Haiders across Pakistan and the world to join the struggle for justice and freedom. May their courage restore hope to those pushed into the shadows and challenge the label of “illegal” imposed on human beings through no fault of their own, but by systems, borders and laws that fail to recognise their humanity.

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PTI’s protest postponement to double security cost in Islamabad

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ISLAMABAD: The government will pay Rs46.5 million per day to the owners of 1,550 containers arranged to counter the Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI) protest in the capital.

Sources in the police said the amount requested by the capital police for security arrangements to counter the PTI’s protest would effectively double and was likely to cost the exchequer more than Rs1 billion as the political party has postponed the protest rally for about a week.

Earlier, PTI had announced a countrywide protest starting on September 27.

Following the announcement, the capital police, like their counterparts in Punjab, began preparations and requested Rs820 million to cover the rent of containers, accommodation and meals for the police personnel arriving from Punjab and Sindh.

Police yet to decide whether to release containers or retain them in their custody, says All Pakistan Goods Alliance chairman

The amount was intended to cover one week, as the police expected the protest and long march, scheduled to begin on September 27, to disperse by October 4.

However, with the protest and long march postponed for a week, the expenses are also expected to increase.

All Pakistan Goods Alliance Chairman Nisar Hussain Jaffri said the alliance had initially demanded a daily rent of Rs40,000 and Rs20,000 for 40-foot and 20-foot containers, respectively. Later, he said, the demand was revised to Rs30,000 per container for both sizes.

After PTI postponed the long march, the police were asked about the containers, he said, adding that the authorities had so far not decided whether to release or retain them in their custody.

The sources said that according to the demand the daily rent for 1,550 containers comes to Rs46.5 million, while the rent for one week is Rs325.5 million and for two weeks Rs651 million.

The sources said the police had also requested a contingent of 16,000 personnel from the Punjab Police and 2,000 from the Sindh Police. So far, the Sindh Police contingent has reached the capital and is staying at marquees at the Police Lines Headquarters, Faisal Mosque and Community Centre G-13.

Three meals a day are being provided to the visiting personnel. The cost of three meals per person is Rs600, meaning Rs1.2 million is being spent each day to feed the 2,000 Sindh Police personnel. The cost of meals for one week is Rs8.4 million and for two weeks Rs16.8 million.

Surprisingly, the requested Punjab Police contingent is yet to reach Islamabad. The sources said the 16,000-member contingent was scheduled to reach the capital by the evening of September 25, as the deployment plan was to take effect from the evening of September 26. However, no Punjab Police official had arrived in Islamabad by Friday evening, they added.

About 70 coasters, 30 double-cabin vehicles and buses were also arranged to transport the police force between their places of accommodation and designated duty points. The daily rent of a coaster is Rs15,000, bringing the daily cost of 70 coasters to Rs1.05 million. The daily rent of a double-cabin vehicle is Rs10,000, while the 30 vehicles cost Rs300,000 per day.

The police also booked 175 rooms in 13 hotels in different sectors for 246 inspectors, 58 deputy and assistant superintendents of police, superintendents of police, 10 senior superintendents of police and eight deputy inspectors general of police.

Although the Punjab Police contingent has yet to arrive in the capital, its three-meal daily food bill is estimated at Rs9.6 million. The cost would rise to Rs67.2 million for one week.

The rent of the buses arranged to transport the police force, as well as the rent of 18 rooms at two hotels booked for DIGs and SSPs, was not known.

Meanwhile, All Pakistan Goods Alliance Chairman Nisar Hussain said the police in Islamabad and Punjab had taken into custody at least 2,700 vehicles along with their three-member crews.

Of the total, about 400 vehicles and their crews were still missing, while the crews of the remaining vehicles were being kept at police stations. He clarified that the police had not formally arrested the drivers and other crew members but had stopped them from leaving the police stations except for meals. The police had also confiscated their mobile phones, vehicle documents and keys.

The sources said the crews would remain at the police stations until a decision was made on releasing the containers. They were being kept there to drive and move the vehicles, as special skills were required to operate the large container trucks.

The containers and vehicles were seized and their crew members detained in Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Lahore, Jhang, Hasanabdal, Attock, Kamoke, Taxila, Jhelum, Mianwali, Chakwal, Faisalabad and Gujrat. Of the 2,700 vehicles, 450 were carrying goods, including medicines, food items and chemicals.

Published in Dawn, September 26th, 2026

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Any attempt to divert Pakistan’s water to be treated as act of war, India ‘must make no mistake about it’: PM at UNGA

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Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Friday said that any attempt by India to divert Pakistan’s share of water would be treated as an “act of war”.

“Any attempt to stop, impede or divert Pakistan’s share of the waters will be treated as an act of war. India must make no mistake about it,” he said during a speech at the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in New York, where he called attention to the neighbouring country’s decision to hold the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) in abeyance.

He highlighted that the country’s claims and actions regarding the treaty had been rejected by UN experts as well as by the Permanent Court of Arbitration, leaving Pakistan “vindicated beyond any ray of doubt” in its position.

“Water must never be weaponised. Rivers should nourish nations, not divide them,” he stressed, calling the Indus river system the “lifeblood” of the entire region.

PM Shehbaz also addressed last year’s brief military conflict with India, which came after an attack on tourists in occupied Kashmir’s Pahalgam that killed 26 tourists — an incident New Delhi blamed on Islamabad without evidence. For its part, Pakistan strongly denied the allegations and called for a neutral investigation.

“Our brave and valiant armed forces, under the courageous leadership of Field Marshal Asim Munir, responded with precision and professionalism,” he said.

He once again praised US President Donald Trump’s “resolute and visionary leadership” in brokering a ceasefire between the two countries in May 2025, stressing that it saved “hundreds of millions of lives”.

“Who knows the extent of devastation that could have taken place had President Trump not stepped in at this critical moment with clarity of thought and action?” he questioned.

“We must therefore ensure that South Asia never reaches this precipice ever again,” he said. This, however, the premier added, required a fair resolution of the Kashmir dispute.

“For eight decades, the Kashmiri people have waited for the United Nations to fulfill its solemn commitment of a free and impartial plebiscite,” he pointed out, adding that they had endured “illegal occupation, arbitrary detention, extrajudicial killings, enforced disappearances, sexual violence and collective punishment” for generations.

He declared that Pakistan would continue to extend its full diplomatic, political and moral support to Kashmiris until they were granted their right to self-determination, terming Kashmir “Pakistan’s jugular vein”.

Pakistan’s peace efforts

During his address, the prime minister also addressed the conflict in the Gulf region and the Middle East, highlighting the loss of lives, economic suffering and pressure faced by critical maritime routes, particularly the Strait of Hormuz.

“At this critical moment, Pakistan chose to act swiftly. Through concerted efforts, Pakistan brought Washington and Tehran under one roof in Islamabad,” PM Shehbaz said, referring to the Islamabad Talks that resulted in the signing of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding by the US and Iran in June.

In this regard, he appreciated Chief of Defence Forces Field Marshal Munir, whose “relentless efforts helped create space for diplomacy under exceptionally difficult and challenging circumstances”. He also extended his appreciation to Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar for his role in the process.

“Amid the roar of missiles, drones and guns, the voice for diplomacy must echo even louder and stronger,” the premier stated.

“The Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab are arteries of the global economy. They must remain open, connecting nations, not becoming choke points of confrontation,” he said.

He also condemned, “in the strongest possible terms”, the recent attacks by the Houthis against the kingdom of Saudi Arabia, calling them “deplorable” and expressed Islamabad’s complete solidarity with Riyadh.

He also highlighted the tripartite defence agreement recently signed by Pakistan, Turkiye and Saudi Arabia as a reflection of Pakistan’s commitment to peace.

“This alliance is not directed against any country; it is a collective commitment for defence, stability and peace in the region, and nothing more,” he stressed.

Israel’s ‘genocidal agenda’

PM Shehbaz also restated Pakistan’s support for Palestine, expressing his concern for ongoing Israeli violence in Gaza and the West Bank as well as its continued aggression against Lebanon and Syria.

He said that last year he had mentioned the “heart-wrenching story” of Hind Rajab, a 5-year-old Palestinian girl who was shot dead by Israeli forces in Gaza after being trapped for hours in a car with her family members.

“This year, another tragedy weighs heavy on the heart. This time, it is the deafening cries of the sobbing mother of eight-year-old Wafaa Akila, who embraced martyrdom in this senseless aggression. What should have been the first day of her school became the last day of her life,” he said.

“Does not a child born in Gaza deserve the same life, and the same future as a child anywhere else in the world? The tragedies of Hind Rajab, Wafaa Akila, and countless others will echo through history as an indictment of our collective silence and inaction,” he said.

In particular, he noted that the forcible eviction of Palestinians in the West Bank “clearly reflects Israel’s genocidal agenda”.

“Pakistan believes that the only just and lasting solution is the creation of an independent, sovereign, viable and contiguous state of Palestine based on pre-1967 borders, with Al-Quds Al-Sharif as its capital,” he reaffirmed.

Terrorism and Afghanistan

Talking about terrorism, the premier said: “Terrorism remains one of the gravest threats to international peace and security.”

He said that as a frontline state in combating the menace of terrorism, Pakistan had “fought terrorists in our own cities, in our own mountains and along our frontiers”.

“Pakistan has sacrificed, almost 100,000 precious lives and suffered economic losses exceeding $150 billion. The world is safer today thanks to the valuable sacrifices of our valiant armed forces and brave civilians who took on these terrorists. The peace-loving world must never forget this reality,” he said.

He added that Afghan territory continued to be exploited by the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan and the Balochistan Liberation Army.

“These foreign-funded groups operated from sanctuaries in Afghanistan with the aim of destabilising Pakistan,” he said. The premier said that all such attacks from the territory of Afghanistan “must come to a grinding halt”.

He called on Afghan authorities to fulfill their international commitments and take “verifiable, decisive action to ensure that Afghan soil is never again used against Pakistan or any other country”.

“The fundamental rights of the Afghan people, especially women and girls, must be respected,” he said.

On restoring trust

PM Shehbaz also called attention to the theme of this year’s assembly, saying, “The theme of this session calls upon us to restore trust. But trust cannot be restored by words alone. It must be earned through action.

“We will restore trust when rivers become lifelines of cooperation, not faultlines of conflict. We will restore trust when those who fuelled the climate crisis protect those who suffer most from its devastating consequences. And above all, trust will be restored when the guns are silenced and replaced by handshakes, embraces and smiles,” he said.

He called for the UN to become stronger and more effective, stressing that reform must reflect “the interests and aspirations of the overwhelming majority of member states, not the ambitions of a select few”.

“We live at a dangerous moment. But our future is not predetermined. War is a choice. Peace is also a choice. And sometimes, courage lies not in starting a war but in preventing one,” he said.

“Pakistan has made its choice. We have chosen dialogue over confrontation. We have chosen cooperation over coercion. We have chosen peace over war,” the premier said.

“Let this 81st General Assembly make it a unanimous choice … Let us restore trust. Let us preserve peace. And let us prove that even in a divided world, humanity can still choose to stand together,” he concluded.

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