Pakistan News
Pakistan at the Heart of a High-Stakes Global Chess Game
Paris (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY) :- Former Press Secretary to the President, Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France, Former MD, SRBC Mr. Qamar Bashir analysis : The flames of war that engulfed the Middle East in recent weeks carried within them the terrifying potential to redraw the map of the world through destruction. What began as a regional confrontation between the United States, Israel, and Iran rapidly escalated into a crisis with global consequences. Military rhetoric crossed dangerous thresholds, with open threats targeting Iran’s critical infrastructure—its nuclear facilities, power grids, bridges, and military backbone—raising fears of a full-spectrum assault designed to force submission.
Had such an operation been executed, the consequences would have been catastrophic. Iran, with its vast missile arsenal and advanced drone capabilities—and widely believed to be at the threshold of nuclear capability—would not have remained passive. A retaliatory strike on Israel could have unleashed unprecedented destruction, targeting cities, strategic installations, and possibly even triggering a nuclear exchange. Gulf states hosting U.S. bases would have become immediate targets, dragging Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Bahrain into direct conflict. The Strait of Hormuz—the artery through which nearly 20 percent of the world’s oil flows—would almost certainly have been shut down.
The economic consequences alone would have been devastating. Iran’s infrastructure losses could have ranged between $500 billion and $1 trillion. Israel, under sustained retaliation, might have faced damages of $150 billion to $300 billion. The Gulf economies, dependent on energy exports and stability, could have suffered losses exceeding $1 trillion. For the United States, prolonged military engagement combined with economic fallout—rising oil prices, inflation, and market disruption—could have pushed total losses beyond $2 trillion. Globally, the shutdown of Hormuz and the collapse of energy supply chains could have triggered a shock of $3 to $5 trillion, bringing total worldwide losses into the staggering range of $5 to $10 trillion.
Beyond numbers, the human and civilizational cost would have been immeasurable. A region that carries millennia of history—Persian, Arab, Islamic, and global heritage—could have been reduced to rubble. Under international law, threats to destroy an entire civilization are not merely rhetoric; they raise grave concerns under the Genocide Convention and the laws governing armed conflict. The world was not just approaching war—it was approaching the edge of irreversible devastation.
At that moment, when diplomacy appeared exhausted and escalation seemed inevitable, an unexpected actor emerged to alter the course of events. Pakistan, often underestimated in global strategic discourse, stepped into the center of the geopolitical chessboard. It was not the wealthiest nation, nor the most militarily dominant, but it possessed something far more decisive in that moment: access, credibility, and the ability to communicate with all sides.
Pakistan’s intervention was deliberate, sustained, and executed under extreme pressure. Its leadership maintained simultaneous engagement with Washington, Tehran, Riyadh, Ankara, and Beijing—building a web of communication when mistrust had paralyzed direct dialogue. The challenge was unprecedented: active hostilities, hardened positions, and a rapidly shrinking window before irreversible escalation.
In the final hours, direct engagement with decision-makers in the United States proved decisive. As military deadlines approached and the threat of devastating strikes loomed, Pakistan urged restraint. That call was not ignored. A pause was granted, opening the narrowest window for diplomacy to take hold.
At the same time, Pakistan leveraged its credibility with Iran. Convincing Tehran to accept a ceasefire required overcoming deep suspicion and fear of strategic deception. The ceasefire was framed not as submission, but as a tactical pause—one that preserved sovereignty while preventing catastrophic loss. This delicate balance could only be achieved by a state trusted by both sides, and Pakistan fulfilled that role.
The diplomatic architecture that followed was equally significant. Pakistan facilitated broader alignment by engaging China, whose influence provided additional assurance to Iran. Regional powers were brought into the process, reinforcing momentum toward de-escalation. In this intricate framework, Pakistan acted as the central connector—linking adversaries, global powers, and regional actors into a single, fragile but functional process.
The outcome was a breakthrough that few had considered possible. A ceasefire was secured at the last possible moment. Oil markets stabilized, global panic subsided, and the world stepped back from the brink. More importantly, a pathway to dialogue was established, with negotiations shifting to Islamabad—transforming Pakistan into the epicenter of high-stakes diplomacy.
This moment marked a profound shift in Pakistan’s global standing. A country often viewed through the prism of regional challenges had demonstrated its capacity to operate at the highest level of international diplomacy, managing a crisis involving nuclear-capable adversaries under active conflict conditions.
The significance of this achievement extends beyond the Middle East. It has reshaped perceptions across the region, particularly in South Asia. In India, Pakistan’s emergence as a central diplomatic actor has triggered a wave of political and media reaction. Sections of the Indian media have expressed visible frustration, portraying Pakistan’s role as an unexpected and uncomfortable development in a domain where India has long sought recognition as a rising global power.
Political opposition within India has reportedly questioned the government’s relative absence from this critical geopolitical moment. The narrative gaining traction is one of missed opportunity—where India, despite its economic and strategic ambitions, found itself on the sidelines while Pakistan occupied the diplomatic center stage. Commentators and analysts have debated whether India’s foreign policy posture—often perceived as aligned with specific blocs—limited its ability to act as a neutral mediator in a conflict requiring balanced engagement with all sides.
This contrast has amplified the perception of Pakistan’s diplomatic success. While Islamabad engaged across divides, maintaining working relationships with both Western and regional powers, India’s position appeared more constrained. The result has been a rare reversal in regional diplomatic optics, where Pakistan is viewed as a facilitator of peace while India faces scrutiny over its strategic positioning.
Meanwhile, Pakistan’s role has continued beyond the ceasefire. Diplomatic channels remain active to ensure the truce holds and to prevent escalation in secondary theaters such as Lebanon. The effort now is not only to sustain the ceasefire but to transform it into a durable peace framework—an undertaking far more complex than securing the initial pause in hostilities.
This evolving role reflects a deeper transformation. Pakistan has moved from being a participant in regional dynamics to becoming a platform for resolving them. It has demonstrated that influence in the modern world is not solely a function of economic size or military strength, but of trust, access, and the ability to act decisively in moments of crisis.
The road ahead remains uncertain. The ceasefire is fragile, and the underlying issues remain unresolved. Yet the immediate danger—the descent into a war that could have caused trillions in damage and untold human suffering—has been averted.
History often remembers the moments when destruction was prevented rather than inflicted. At a time when powerful nations were speaking the language of annihilation, Pakistan spoke the language of restraint and negotiation. It convinced adversaries to pause, brought them to the table, and created a pathway where none existed.
If the current process leads to lasting peace, this moment will be recorded as a turning point—not only in the conflict itself, but in the evolution of global diplomacy. And at the center of that transformation will stand Pakistan, a nation that, against all expectations, helped steer the world away from the brink of catastrophe and toward the possibility of peace.
Pakistan News
CM Murad asks authorities to boost polio vaccination across Sindh
KARACHI: Sindh Chief Minister Syed Murad Ali Shah on Wednesday reviewed the progress against poliovirus, noting that Sindh had reduced its polio burden from 23 cases in 2024 and nine in 2025 to just one case so far in 2026. However, environmental surveillance showed that the virus is still present in a few high-risk areas.
Chairing a meeting of the Provincial Task Force (PTF) on Polio Eradication, the CM reaffirmed the government’s commitment to eliminating the disease and directed authorities to intensify vaccination, surveillance and community engagement efforts ahead of the September 21-27 Sub-National Immunisation Days (SNIDs) campaign.
“The progress achieved by Sindh is encouraging and reflects the hard work of our health workers, district administrations and partner organisations, but our mission will only be completed when every child is protected, and the virus is eliminated from every district,” said Murad Ali Shah.
“No child should remain unvaccinated due to negligence, weak supervision or lack of follow-up.”
Reviews preparations for week-long campaign beginning on 21st
The meeting, held at CM House, was attended by Health Minister Dr Azra Fazal Pechuho, chief secretary Asif Hyder Shah, Mayor of Karachi Murtaza Wahab, IG Police Sindh Javed Alam Odho, commissioner of Karachi Hassan Naqvi, provincial secretaries, provincial coordinator of Emergency Operations Centre (EOC) Shaharyar Gul, Sindh government partners, and deputy commissioners. From other districts, commissioners, DIGs, deputy commissioners and SSPs participated via video link.
Briefing the meeting, Health Minister Dr Azra Fazal Pechuho said Pakistan’s wild poliovirus (WPV1) cases have declined sharply from 74 in 2024 to 31 in 2025 and only three so far in 2026. Sindh has recorded a single case this year, reported from Sujawal on February 10, compared to nine cases last year and 23 in 2024.
In-charge of EOC Shaharyar Gul informed the chief minister that environmental surveillance data shows a significant reduction in virus circulation across the province. The number of positive environmental surveillance sites has fallen from a peak of 29 in March 2025 to only five in August 2026. Outside Karachi, all 14 surveillance sites are currently negative, while six of Karachi’s 15 sites remain positive, indicating that transmission is increasingly confined to limited pockets of the city.
The meeting participants were told that the absence of confirmed polio cases in Karachi during the 2025 high-transmission season, despite some positive environmental samples, reflects stronger population immunity achieved through routine immunisation and repeated vaccination campaigns.
Chief secretary Asif Hyder Shah said that sustained immunisation efforts have helped prevent clinical cases even where environmental surveillance continues to detect virus circulation.
Expressing satisfaction over the declining trend, the chief minister directed all commissioners, deputy commissioners and district health authorities to adopt a zero-tolerance approach towards missed children, refusals and operational gaps.
Reviewing surveillance findings, he ordered intensified vaccination and monitoring efforts in Karachi and other identified high-risk areas, full implementation of the Karachi Action Plan 2.0, stronger coordination among district administrations and health authorities, closer monitoring of migrant and mobile populations and improved routine immunisation coverage in underserved communities.
EOC coordinator Shaharyar Gul reported that nearly three million oral polio vaccine (OPV) doses and 2.89 million booster doses were administered in Karachi, while campaigns in other divisions delivered approximately 2.7 million OPV doses and 2.58 million booster doses. Expanded-age vaccination strategies helped reach older children through schools and community-based interventions.
The chief minister appreciated the efforts of frontline workers, teachers, community mobilisers and health staff working in remote and hard-to-reach areas, describing them as the backbone of the eradication programme.
The task force was informed that after the July 2026 SNIDs campaign, a special 10-day follow-up drive was launched to vaccinate children who had initially been missed. Of 146,149 missed children, more than 23,500 were subsequently vaccinated through targeted efforts focused on refusals and unavailable children.
Mr Shah directed district administrations to further reduce refusal rates through stronger community engagement and public awareness campaigns, emphasising that building trust with parents remains critical to the success of the programme.
The meeting reviewed preparations for the September 21-27 SNIDs campaign, during which nearly 10 million children under five will be vaccinated across Sindh. The campaign will cover 23 full districts and selected union councils in seven partial districts, with more than 80,000 frontline workers participating.
Officials said over 26,000 police personnel have been assigned security duties. The chief minister reiterated the provincial government’s financial support for the campaign and noted that incentives for frontline workers had been increased by 28 per cent.
He directed all districts to complete remaining preparedness measures, including vaccine supply, logistics, workforce deployment and supervision arrangements, before the campaign begins.
The chief minister also reviewed campaign quality indicators and was informed that Sindh has continued to maintain strong performance standards while pursuing key reforms in routine immunisation, surveillance, staffing and community engagement.
Published in Dawn, September 17th, 2026
Pakistan News
Dealers await answers as fuel subsidy rollout begins
• Petroleum dealers lament lack of clarity on payment mechanism, timeline
• PM wants facilitation desks to help people trying to buy subsidised fuel
• Ogra attributes hike to elevated crude prices despite decline in int’l rates
ISLAMABAD: Even as members of the public who have signed up for the PM’s Fuel Relief Scheme queued up at fuel pumps late on Wednesday night, petroleum dealers were still not clear about the mechanism whereby they would be compensated.
The concern was voiced by the Pakistan Petroleum Dealers Association (PPDA) during a presser in Karachi, where its chairman Malik Khuda Bakhsh said that no fuel pump could afford to bear a loss of Rs100 per litre without clarity on how they will be compensated.
He claimed that between the petroleum ministry, Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) and even the finance ministry, no one had been able to answer their questions.
“Officials from Ogra and oil marketing companies say that the petroleum ministry will possibly pay the subsidy amount, whereas ministry officials maintain that payments will be made by the finance ministry, while finance ministry officials assure us that the State Bank will release the funds in a day or two,“ Mr Bakhsh added.
A day earlier, the National Steering Committee on Fuel Subsidy — chaired by Deputy PM Ishaq Dar — had ordered that payments to fuel stations under the PM’s scheme be processed within 24 hours through the State Bank of Pakistan.
However, Mr Bakhsh said the federal government had assured dealers that they would be taken into confidence before the launch of the fuel relief package, but lamented that no such consultation took place.
”The government has to understand that if payments are not reimbursed in time, many dealers will stop participating in [the scheme], as many previous promises were also not fulfilled by the government,” he added.
PPDA Vice Chairman Tariq Hassan said that around 14,000 dealers across the country have been trying desperately to contact the government over the past three days, adding that whenever Islamabad wants to enforce something, it stops communication.
Another vice chairman, Anwar Kamal, said that if the scheme was to be successful, the government must negotiate with dealers, adding that dealers could not afford to have billions tied up for a long period under this scheme.
Mr Bakhsh later told Dawn they had been invited to a virtual meeting with the relevant federal secretary on Thursday morning.
He added that Ogra officials had also reached out to brief him, but he had asked for that information in writing, so he could relay that to the members of his association.
Facilitation desks
Earlier, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif ordered authorities to set up facilitation desks comprising administration officials, volunteers and petrol pump staff to assist citizens in easily obtaining fuel subsidy under the special relief scheme, which was rolled out across the country at Wednesday midnight, following the launch of the pilot phase in Islamabad.
Presiding over a meeting to review progress on the scheme, PM Shehbaz directed that personnel deployed at the facilitation desks should guide eligible citizens and provide them with all possible assistance in registration and other necessary procedures.
The prime minister also asked the relevant authorities to remain proactive in creating public awareness about the scheme, which will benefit people from all four provinces, Azad Jammu and Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan.
The meeting was informed that the scheme had been designed in a simple and easy-to-understand manner for the public. Only four pieces of information were required for registration: the applicant’s CNIC number, vehicle number plate, province of registration and vehicle registration date.
According to an official, the number of successful registrations was gradually rising, while provincial governments were extending “full cooperation” for nationwide implementation of the scheme.
Oil prices
Meanwhile, notifying fresh POL rates on Wednesday night, Ogra attributed the steep hikes to elevated international crude oil and petroleum product prices.
The price of high-speed diesel was increased by Rs5.62 per litre to Rs421.45, while petrol became costlier by Rs6.88 per litre, taking its new price to Rs391.22 per litre.
Brent crude futures fell $2.92, or 2.7 per cent, to settle at $105.83 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate futures fell $3.40, or 3.2pc, to close at $102.43, Reuters reported.
Saudi Arabia is offering more loadings of crude oil to Asian refiners via ship-to-ship transfers off Oman’s Sohar port, people familiar with the matter said, blunting some of the hit to global supply from attacks on the country’s East-West pipeline to the Red Sea.
Oil prices had gained more than $3 in the previous session after shipping industry sources said crude loadings at Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea export hub of Yanbu had been suspended and Riyadh had cancelled some cargo deliveries to European customers.
The suspension followed strikes on the East-West pipeline, which feeds the Saudi port of Yanbu. It became the main Saudi outlet for oil exports after Iran began blockading the Strait of Hormuz after US and Israeli attacks on the country.
Published in Dawn, September 17th, 2026
Pakistan News
Islamabad, Beijing activate joint border commission
ISLAMABAD: Pakistan and China on Wednesday operationalised a long pending joint mechanism for managing their common border, with Islamabad describing the move as a significant milestone in bilateral relations and a step toward closer coordination on border management, trade and cross-border connectivity.
“The inaugural meeting of the Commission was held at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Islamabad,” the Foreign Office said in a statement.
The meeting was co-led by Li Ya, deputy director general of the Department of Boundary and Ocean Affairs at China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and Bilal Mahmood Chaudhary, director general for China at Pakistan’s Foreign Office.
The FO described the operationalisation of the Pakistan-China Boundary Joint Commission as a “significant milestone for Pakistan-China relations”, saying it would set “the stage for enhanced cooperation in border management, joint border surveys, trade flows and people to people connectivity.”
The commission has its origins in the 2013 Agreement on the Boundary Management System signed during the visit of then Chinese Premier Li Keqiang to Islamabad. Article 45 of the agreement provides for establishment of the joint commission to oversee implementation of the border management arrangements.
The mechanism would provide an institutional framework for dealing with practical issues along the border, including maintenance and inspection of the boundary, joint surveys, boundary marker issues, management of cross-border facilities and handling of incidents involving the border.
Its activation also gives the two countries a mechanism for regular coordination on a border that is important for movement between Pakistan and China, including through the Khunjerab crossing, and for trade and connectivity linked to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).
The new commission is distinct from the Joint Boundary Demarcation Commission that was established under the Sino-Pakistan Boundary Agreement of March 2, 1963. The earlier commission had a specific and essentially one time mandate to conduct surveys, establish boundary markers, prepare detailed maps and set out the alignment of the boundary.
Its work ended after the signing of the protocol and maps completing the demarcation process. The 1963 agreement was signed in Beijing by then-Pakistani foreign minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto and his Chinese counterpart Chen Yi.
It also provided that, following a settlement of the Kashmir dispute between Pakistan and India, the relevant sovereign authority would reopen negotiations with China on the boundary.
The 2013 agreement, by contrast, established a continuing system for managing the already demarcated boundary, including provisions for dealing with boundary markers and cross-border infrastructure. The agreement says that if a marker cannot be restored at its original location, the joint commission can determine another suitable location, provided the boundary line itself is not altered.
India, which disputes the validity of the 1963 agreement and regards the territory covered by it as part of Occupied Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh, rejected the new mechanism.
“We have seen reports in this regard. Our position on this matter is clear and consistent. There is no boundary between Pakistan and China. We reject the so-called Joint Commission, which is without any legal basis,” Indian Foreign Ministry spokesman Randhir Jaiswal said.
For Pakistan and China, however, the commission provides a new institutional arrangement for managing their border relationship and dealing with practical issues that have emerged since the 2013 agreement, while leaving the broader territorial positions of the parties unchanged.
Published in Dawn, September 17th, 2026
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