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The Dollar’s Fall and China’s Rise: A New Global Order in the Making

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Paris (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY) :- Former Press Secretary to the President, Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France, Former MD, SRBC Mr. Qamar Bashir analysis : The tectonic plates of global finance are shifting, and the tremors are already rattling the foundations of the old world order. China, once the eager buyer of U.S. Treasury bonds, has decisively turned away from financing what it now perceives as an empire in decline. This is not merely a change in investment strategy—it is a bold geopolitical maneuver. The steady offloading of U.S. debt, the pivot to real assets, and the pursuit of infrastructure diplomacy all signal that Beijing is no longer willing to play a game rigged in favor of the dollar. Instead, China is building an alternate system—one that does not revolve around the whims of Washington and the Federal Reserve.
At the height of globalization, China accumulated vast dollar reserves by running a consistent trade surplus. For years, Beijing funneled these reserves into U.S. Treasury bonds, effectively lending its savings to fund America’s debt-fueled lifestyle. As of 2025, China holds $759 billion in U.S. securities, down from over $1.3 trillion a decade earlier. The trend is unmistakable and accelerating. In just one month between November and December 2024, China slashed its holdings by $9.6 billion. Once the second-largest holder of American debt after Japan, China is now liquidating these IOUs with a clear message: enough is enough.
What has triggered this shift is not just economic prudence but strategic awakening. The U.S. has weaponized the dollar through financial sanctions, arbitrary asset freezes, and unrestricted monetary expansion. A former Federal Reserve chairman once admitted that America meets global dollar demand not through productivity or resource backing, but by simply printing money. This privilege of issuing the world’s reserve currency allowed the U.S. to import goods from across the globe without producing equivalent value—exporting paper in exchange for products. For decades, China tolerated this imbalance. But now, it has chosen to weaponize its surplus not for savings, but for strategic leverage.
Instead of buying paper promises that yield 3 percent and risk sanctions, China is pouring its reserves into tangible power. It is stockpiling copper, lithium, cobalt, oil, gas, and soybeans—commodities that can’t be frozen by a Western bank or devalued in a Wall Street crisis. These are not merely stores of value—they are instruments of economic sovereignty. Simultaneously, China has ramped up its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a masterstroke of infrastructure diplomacy. Through roads, ports, power grids, and telecom corridors, China exchanges capital for commodity access and geopolitical loyalty. Unlike the IMF, which offers austerity and lectures, China offers roads and development.
I recall attending a high-level academic workshop in Beijing some years ago, where a Chinese professor openly admitted: “We have so much foreign exchange reserve, we didn’t know what to do with it. So we decided to invest it in eliminating poverty at home and controlling resources abroad.” That statement, casual yet profound, encapsulated the essence of China’s pivot. Today, the results are evident. From Latin America to Africa, China is deeply embedded in infrastructure, logistics, and critical mineral extraction. It is building railways in Kenya, ports in Sri Lanka, and digital corridors across Central Asia—all bankrolled by dollars it once recycled into U.S. debt.
China is also quietly dismantling the dollar-based trade system. It has signed bilateral currency swap agreements with Russia, Iran, Pakistan, Brazil, and more. The objective is clear—not to dethrone the dollar globally overnight, but to bypass it in key trade corridors. Each swap, each RMB-denominated energy deal, chips away at dollar hegemony. In parallel, China is investing aggressively within its borders—funneling its surplus into semiconductor independence, high-speed rail networks, renewable energy grids, satellite systems, and next-generation internet infrastructure. These are not profit-driven investments; they are sovereignty-driven—designed to build strategic autonomy.
The U.S., meanwhile, remains entrapped in an illusion of infinite liquidity. With inflation on the rise and interest rates elevated, the Federal Reserve is still printing money to sustain demand and fund its staggering $35.5 trillion debt. Yet even as the U.S. issues more bonds, major buyers like China are walking away. This signals a profound crisis of confidence in the dollar system. America’s reliance on external creditors, particularly for cheap manufactured goods and critical supply chains, is its Achilles’ heel. Ironically, many of these industries were once outsourced to China. The U.S. imports not just consumer electronics and pharmaceuticals, but even core components like semiconductors and rare earths that sustain its defense and tech sectors.
If the global monetary system transitions to a multipolar reserve structure—such as that envisioned by BRICS+, which includes a potential gold-backed or commodity-backed trade currency—the consequences for the U.S. would be dire. The collapse of dollar demand would render the U.S. unable to roll over its debt at low interest rates. The cascade effect would crush its financial markets, devalue its currency, and erode its global economic standing. Already the symptoms are visible: declining global trust, rising debt-to-GDP ratio, and eroding manufacturing capacity.
Yet, the United States is still a nation of remarkable creativity, diversity, and strength. It has attracted the world’s brightest minds, offered freedom to the oppressed, and powered innovation across industries. But this dream is now imperiled by systemic fiscal irresponsibility and imperial overreach. Wars fought not in American interest but on behalf of foreign allies drain both credibility and capital. Domestic infrastructure lags behind, while digital and logistical competitiveness fall further behind China’s state-led modernization surge.
If the U.S. is to remain relevant in the post-dollar world, it must act swiftly and boldly. The first step is to stop the reckless printing of unbacked currency. Fiscal discipline must be restored. The surplus must be generated through production, not printing. America must wean itself off military misadventures and redirect its resources toward rebuilding national infrastructure—high-speed rails, smart cities, digital highways, and renewable energy. It must re-industrialize, not through nostalgia, but through strategic foresight. Above all, it must begin a global campaign of resource consolidation—not with coercion, but with cooperation.
China has read the future and is writing it in copper, fiber, and cobalt—not dollars. The world is moving toward a system based on assets, production, and connectivity—not paper promises. The U.S. still has a chance to adapt, to innovate, and to lead. But time is running out. The casino is closing. The empire must now become a republic again—one grounded in productivity, not printing presses.

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Turkey host the COP31 after reaching compromise with Australia

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Belem (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY):- Australia will not hold next year’s UN climate summit, Australia will allow Türkiye to host COP31 next year but Australia will lead negotiations there.

Climate Minister Chris Bowen revealing Australia was willing to cede hosting rights to Türkiye in exchange for it handing him the reins of the negotiations and cementing a major role for the Pacific at the summit.

There had been a growing expectation that Australia would drop its bid to host COP31 in Adelaide as it struggled to convince Türkiye to pull out of the contest.

Under UN rules, if the two countries were unable to strike a deal, then the meeting location would automatically revert to Germany, which hosts the United Nations body responsible for the Paris Agreement.

This unusual arrangement has taken observers by surprise. It is normal for a COP president to be from the host country and how this new partnership will work in practice remains to be seen.

Despite this, there will be relief among countries currently meeting at COP30 in the Brazilian city of Belém that a compromise has been reached as the lack of agreement on the venue was becoming an embarrassment for the UN.
Australia has pushed hard to have the climate summit in the city of Adelaide, arguing that they would co-host the meeting with Pacific island states who are seen as among the most vulnerable to climate change and rising sea levels.
Turkey, which has proposed hosting COP31 in the city of Antalya, felt that they had a good claim to be the host country as they had stood aside in 2021 and allowed the UK to hold the meeting in Glasgow.
If neither country was willing to compromise then the meeting would have been held in the German city of Bonn, the headquarters of the UN’s climate body.
As a result of discussions at COP30, a compromise appears to have been reached.

This includes pre-COP meeting will be held on a Pacific island, while the main event is held in Turkey. 

Australian Minister believes having a COP president not from the host country will work and that he will have the considerable authority reserved for the president of these gatherings. As COP president of negotiations, I would have all the powers of the COP presidency to manage, to handle the negotiations, to appoint co-facilitators, to prepare draft text, to issue the cover decision,” he said.
He also confirmed to Turkey will also appoint a president who will run the venue, organise the meetings and schedules.

Australia’s climbdown will be embarrassing for the government of Mr Albanese, after lobbying long and hard to win support among the other nations in the Western Europe group.
The compromise will have to be ratified by more than 190 countries gathered here for COP30 in Belem, Brazil.

Photos @ Imran Y. CHOUDHRY

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Titanic passenger’s watch expected to fetch £1m

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A gold pocket watch recovered from the body of one of the richest passengers on the Titanic is expected to fetch £1m at auction.

Isidor Straus and his wife Ida were among the more than 1,500 people who died when the vessel travelling from Southampton to New York sank after hitting an iceberg on 14 April 1912.

His body was recovered from the Atlantic days after the disaster and among his possessions was an 18 carat gold Jules Jurgensen pocket watch that will go under the hammer on 22 November.

Auctioneer Andrew Aldridge, of Henry Aldridge & Son in Wiltshire, told BBC Radio Wiltshire: “With the watch, we are retelling Isidor’s story. It’s a phenomenal piece of memorabilia.”

Mr Straus was a Bavarian-born American businessman, politician, and co-owner of Macy’s department store in New York.

“They were a very famous New York couple,” said Mr Aldridge.

“Everyone would know them from the end of James Cameron’s Titanic movie, when there is an elderly couple hugging as the ship is sinking – that’s Isidor and Ida.”

On the night of the sinking, it is believed his devoted wife refused a place in a lifeboat as she did not want to leave her husband and said she would rather die by his side.

Ida’s body was never found.

BNPS A golden watch engraved on the inside with February 6th 1888.
It is believed the watch was a gift from Ida to her husband in 1888

The pocket watch stopped at 02:20, the moment the Titanic disappeared beneath the waves.

It is believed to have been a gift from Ida to her husband in 1888 and is engraved with Straus’ initials.

It was returned to his family and was passed down through generations before Kenneth Hollister Straus, Isidor’s great-grandson, had the movement repaired and restored.

It will be sold alongside a rare letter Ida wrote aboard the liner describing its luxury.

She wrote: “What a ship! So huge and so magnificently appointed. Our rooms are furnished in the best of taste and most luxurious.”

The letter is postmarked “TransAtlantic 7” meaning it was franked on board in the Titanic’s post office before being taken off with other mail at Queenstown, Ireland.

Both items will be offered by Henry Aldridge & Son in Wiltshire, with the letter estimated to fetch £150,000.

The watch is set to become one of the most expensive Titanic artefacts ever sold.

The auction house said news of the sale had already generated “significant interest from clients all over the world”.

BNPS The letter from Ida, which is neatly written on and has an "on board RMS Titanic" stamp in the corner.
The letter by Ida is estimated to fetch £150,000

“Theirs was the ultimate love story – Isidor epitomised the American Dream, rising from humble immigrant to a titan of the New York establishment, owning Macy’s department store,” a spokesperson for the auction house said.

“As the ship was sinking, despite being offered a seat in a lifeboat, Ida refused to leave her husband and stated to him ‘Isidor we have been together all of these years, where you go, I go’.”

The spokesperson added: “This is the reason why collectors are interested in the Titanic story 113 years later – every man, woman and child had a story to tell and those stories now are retold through these objects.”

gold pocket watch presented to the captain of the Carpathia, the steamship which rescued more than 700 Titanic survivors, sold last year a record-breaking £1.56m.

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Major corruption scandal engulfs top Zelensky allies

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Ukraine’s energy and justice ministers have resigned in the wake of a major investigation into corruption in the country’s energy sector.

President Volodymyr Zelensky called for Energy Minister Svitlana Grynchuk and Justice Minister Herman Halushchenko’s removal on Wednesday.

On Monday anti-corruption bodies accused several people of orchestrating a embezzlement scheme in the energy sector worth about $100m (£76m), including at the national nuclear operator Enerhoatom.

Some of those implicated in the scandal are – or have been – close associates of Zelensky’s.

The allegation is that Justice Minister Herman Halushchenko and other key ministers and officials received payments from contractors building fortifications against Russian attacks on energy infrastructure.

Among those alleged to be involved are former Deputy Prime Minister Oleksiy Chernyshov and Timur Mindich – a businessman and a co-owner of Zelensky’s former TV studio Kvartal95. He has since reportedly fled the country.

Halushchenko said he would defend himself against the accusations, while Grynchuk said on social media: “Within the scope of my professional activities there were no violations of the law.”

The National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (Nabu) and Specialised Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (Sap) said the investigation – which was 15 months in the making and involved 1,000 hours of audio recordings – uncovered the participation of several members of the Ukrainian government.

According to Nabu, the people involved systematically collected kickbacks from Enerhoatom contractors worth between 10% and 15% of contract values.

The anti-corruption bodies also said the huge sums had been laundered in the scheme and published photographs of bags full of cash. The funds were then transferred outside Ukraine, including to Russia, Nabu said.

Prosecutors alleged that the scheme’s proceeds were laundered through an office in Kyiv linked to the family of former Ukrainian lawmaker and current Russian senator Andriy Derkach.

Nabu has been releasing new snippets of its investigation and wiretaps every day and on Tuesday it promised more would come.

The scandal is unfolding against the backdrop of escalating Russian attacks on Ukrainian energy facilities, including substations that supply electricity to nuclear power plants.

It will also shine a spotlight on corruption in Ukraine, which continues to be endemic despite work by Nabu and Sap in the 10 years since they were created.

In July, nationwide protests broke out over changes curbing the independence of Nabu and Sap. Ukrainians feared the nation could lose the coveted status of EU candidate country which it was granted on condition it mounted a credible fight against corruption.

Kyiv’s European partners also expressed severe alarm at the decision, with ambassadors from the G7 group of nations expressing the desire to discuss the issue with the Ukrainian leadership.

The backlash was the most severe to hit the Ukrainian government since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022 and was only quelled by Zelensky’s decision to reinstate the freedom of the two anti-corruption bodies.

Yet for some that crisis brought into question Zelensky’s dedication to anti-corruption reforms. The latest scandal threatens to lead to more awkward questions for the Ukrainian president.

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