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Pakistan’s Diplomatic Gambit: A Nobel Bid for Donald Trump

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Paris (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY) :- Former Press Secretary to the President, Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France, Former MD, SRBC Mr. Qamar Bashir analysis : Pakistan has announced its decision to nominate former U.S. President Donald Trump for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, citing his critical role in brokering a ceasefire between India and Pakistan during their recent four-day conflict. According to Islamabad, Trump’s diplomatic intervention prevented what could have been a devastating war between two nuclear-armed nations, whose combined population nears 1.7 billion people. The risk of escalation was not merely regional—it threatened global catastrophe. A full-blown nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan would have killed millions instantly, left countless more suffering from radiation poisoning, and potentially polluted vast areas of the planet with radioactive fallout.
In the eyes of Pakistani leadership, the ceasefire was not a result of bilateral understanding alone, but rather the outcome of behind-the-scenes pressure from Washington, led by Trump himself. His influence, they argue, tipped the strategic balance in Pakistan’s favor. The fact that India has not made a similar nomination, nor endorsed Pakistan’s proposal, suggests New Delhi may have been compelled by external pressure to agree to de-escalation—an arm-twisting it now hesitates to acknowledge. Pakistan, by contrast, sees Trump’s role as decisive, crediting him for giving diplomacy a chance and stabilizing one of the world’s most volatile flashpoints.
For Trump, this marks yet another moment where he seeks to define himself as a peacemaker. Since returning to office, he has claimed involvement in a range of peace efforts, including attempting to defuse tensions between Russia and Ukraine, proposing controversial solutions to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and more recently, trying to mediate between Israel and Iran as hostilities in the Middle East escalate. In each of these cases, Trump has framed himself as a man of peace rather than war, a statesman who prefers deals over destruction.
However, the Nobel Peace Prize is governed by very specific criteria outlined in Alfred Nobel’s will. The prize is intended for those who have, in the preceding year, contributed most to fostering fraternity between nations, advancing disarmament or the abolition of standing armies, or organizing peace congresses. While Pakistan’s government is qualified to make the nomination, the question remains whether Trump’s actions align sufficiently with these core requirements.
Trump’s role in halting the India-Pakistan conflict may well qualify under the category of fostering fraternity between nations, at least in the narrow sense of preventing immediate escalation. However, critics argue that his interventions tend to be tactical rather than structural. The ceasefire, while significant, did not involve formal peace talks, demilitarization, or the establishment of long-term conflict-resolution mechanisms. It was a pause in hostilities, not a transformation of the underlying tensions. Similarly, his other diplomatic efforts have often lacked follow-through, institutions, or treaties that would make peace durable.
Still, Trump’s posture as a peacemaker has found fresh ground in the Middle East. As the war between Israel and Iran escalated in June 2025, Trump initiated a series of back-channel efforts to contain the conflict. He publicly called for calm, pressured both sides to explore negotiation, and sought Turkish mediation to open discreet dialogue with Iranian officials. Though Tehran initially refused to participate unless Israel halted its bombing campaign, Trump remained hopeful that diplomacy could still win the day. At the G7 summit, he reiterated his plea for restraint, urging both parties to “make a deal” and avoid dragging the region into a full-scale war.
Unlike many past U.S. presidents, Trump has taken a nuanced stance on NATO, pushing European allies to shoulder more financial responsibility. His reduced emphasis on U.S. military interventionism is consistent with his larger strategy of avoiding entanglements while leveraging diplomatic pressure. Whether this is pragmatism or isolationism is open to debate, but Pakistan clearly sees in Trump a leader who intervenes only when strategic interests and peace align.
Yet Trump’s foreign policy record is fraught with contradictions. While positioning himself as a man of peace in one region, he has actively emboldened militarism and expansionism in others. His unwavering support for Israel, despite the humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza and the West Bank, has been widely condemned.
His administration’s backing of Israeli military operations—framed by many as acts of genocide against Palestinians—has undermined his peace credentials. Furthermore, his support for Israel’s continued assault on Iran and refusal to condemn aggressive preemptive strikes has placed the United States squarely on one side of an increasingly dangerous regional war.
Beyond the Middle East, Trump’s assertions to annex Canada as the 51st state, his plan to rebrand the Gulf of Mexico under American identity, his proposal to take over Greenland from Denmark, and his ambitions to militarize and control the Panama Canal and adjacent lake regions signal an aggressive geopolitical posture. These positions paint him not as a global peacemaker but as an opportunistic expansionist, eager to rewrite borders and extend American dominance through threats, deals, or force.
Despite these criticisms, Trump’s ability to stall a potential war between India and Pakistan gives him a strong talking point in the context of Nobel nominations. It adds weight to his self-characterization as a statesman who, even if unconventional, gets results. Whether the Nobel Committee shares that view is far from certain. Historically, the committee has favored leaders whose efforts culminate in formal agreements, institutional reforms, or significant steps toward disarmament—criteria that Trump has yet to meet fully.
There is, of course, a deeply political dimension to Pakistan’s nomination. By recognizing Trump in this way, Islamabad gains soft power leverage and potentially earns goodwill from one of the most powerful and polarizing leaders on the global stage. In contrast, India—smarting from what many see as a military setback—has remained diplomatically muted. Its reluctance to echo Pakistan’s praise of Trump may be born out of resentment or embarrassment. By moving first, Pakistan has repositioned itself as a diplomatic ally to the United States under Trump’s leadership, while casting India in a defensive, unresponsive role.
In conclusion, Pakistan’s nomination of Donald Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize is both a diplomatic strategy and a symbolic gesture. It serves to highlight Trump’s influence in regional stability and underscores Pakistan’s gratitude for averting a disastrous conflict. While the nomination is procedurally sound, whether it gains traction with the Nobel Committee depends on how they interpret Trump’s peace initiatives. If short-term conflict prevention is deemed sufficient, Trump could emerge as a serious contender. If the bar remains high—demanding enduring peace through institutions, disarmament, and treaties—then his efforts may fall short. Regardless of the outcome, the move places Pakistan on Trump’s radar and subtly shifts the narrative of South Asia’s security calculus in Islamabad’s favor.

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New Chapter for Dragon Boating in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Provincial associations officially set up with sights locked on national competitions and international representation.

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Dragon Boat Associations Established in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
PSHAWAR/LAHORE: Dragon boat associations have been established in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, marking a step towards organising and promoting the sport across Pakistan.
Prominent political and social figure Ameer Bahadur Khan Hoti will serve as president of the Punjab Dragon Boat Association (PDBA), while a notification has been issued confirming the election of former bureaucrat Javed Marwat as president of the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Dragon Boat Association (KPDBA). At a meeting in Lahore, prominent sports journalist Muhammad Yousuf was elected secretary general of the Punjab association. Uzma Zaidi will serve as senior vice president and Naveed Akhtar Malik as treasurer.
At a separate meeting in Peshawar, Javed Marwat, who previously held several senior administrative positions in the province, was unanimously elected president of the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa association, while renowned sports organiser Naeem Gul was elected secretary general. Shamim Akhtar Jadoon will serve as senior vice president, Junaid Khan vice president and Bilal Aslam as treasurer. Newly elected Punjab association president Ameer Bahadur Khan Hoti said Pakistan’s first dragon boat festival and competitions on the Kabul River had opened new avenues for the sport’s development. He said the enthusiasm shown by participants and the sport’s promising prospects had highlighted the need to establish a Pakistan Dragon Boat Federation to coordinate training, organise competitions and support athletes. Dragon boat associations would be established in all four provinces and the federal capital, Islamabad, before the formal announcement of the national federation, he added.
Newly elected Khyber Pakhtunkhwa association president Javed Marwat said efforts would focus on introducing the sport at the provincial level and providing athletes with opportunities to compete nationally and demonstrate their abilities. Teams would also be sent to represent Pakistan in international competitions. He said the sport would help strengthen people-to-people exchanges and further promote Pakistan-China friendship. Marwat expressed confidence that dragon boat racing would soon gain popularity throughout Pakistan.

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Pakistan’s Yemen Dilemma

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Paris (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY) :- Former Press Secretary to the President, Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France, Former MD, SRBC Mr. Qamar Bashir analysis : Pakistan’s military commitment to Saudi Arabia raises a question that cannot be answered simply by identifying where its soldiers are stationed. Modern warfare allows forces to attack through aircraft, missiles, drones and targeting support without sending infantry across a border. The decisive issue is whether Pakistani personnel and capabilities will participate in hostilities against Yemen’s Houthis—and what consequences could follow.
Scott Ritter, renowned American podcaster, military and geopolitical analyst captures the central danger: Saudi Arabia could obtain through collective defence the Pakistani involvement in Yemen that Islamabad previously resisted. An initially limited commitment could expand through casualties, retaliation and demands for reinforcement, leaving Pakistan responsible for a war whose objectives it does not control.
CNN reported on October 7 that Pakistani troops were already stationed in Saudi Arabia. In the interview, Lieutenant General Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry, director general of Inter-Services Public Relations, declined to disclose their numbers or capabilities. Asked about operations across the Yemeni border, he invoked military confidentiality, explaining that participating countries do not publicly disclose how and where they will employ their forces. His response offered no categorical exclusion of ground operations or offensive action inside Yemen, even as he described Pakistani involvement as defensive.
That distinction matters. Operational secrecy may protect military personnel, but it also leaves the public without clear answers about the mission’s boundaries. The description “defensive” cannot establish those boundaries by itself. Governments routinely invoke defence to justify attacks beyond their territory; the relevant questions concern what forces actually do, whom they target and under whose authority.
Pakistani forces operating from Saudi territory could potentially support or conduct attacks inside Yemen without deploying infantry there. Air operations and targeting assistance could carry substantial consequences. If Pakistani personnel participate in attacks against Houthi positions, Ansarullah could regard Pakistan as belligerent. Tehran could interpret the same activity as participation in a campaign against Iranian regional interests.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement, signed by Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Türkiye on August 7, 2026, reportedly treats an attack against one member as an attack against all three. Its deterrent promise is substantial, but so is the danger of importing one member’s confrontation into the security calculations of the others.
An October 5 statement published by Türkiye’s Foreign Ministry committed the partners to implement collective defence arrangements and rapidly deploy agreed military forces and capabilities to Saudi Arabia, subject to national legislation. Türkiye therefore shares the deployment commitment. However, the evidence reviewed does not establish a Turkish ground combat commitment against the Houthis or an equal distribution of operational risks.
For Islamabad, the unanswered questions are fundamental. Who authorizes Pakistani involvement in cross-border attacks? Can Pakistan refuse a particular operation? Who finances a prolonged deployment, and what conditions permit withdrawal? Confidential operational details need not be published to explain the political mandate governing the use of force.
Pakistan brings potential strengths to the alliance: experienced personnel, established military institutions and longstanding cooperation with Riyadh. Saudi infrastructure and financing could support a substantial deployment. Islamabad’s relationships with both Riyadh and Tehran might also create diplomatic opportunities, provided military involvement does not undermine its credibility as an intermediary.
Yet those strengths do not resolve the weaknesses of an extended campaign. Destroying particular weapons or positions is different from ending an adversary’s ability and determination to fight. Dispersed forces, local networks and adaptation can frustrate superior firepower. Tactical gains could therefore coexist with an expanding mission and an elusive political settlement.
Ritter’s warning is strongest when understood in these terms. Predicting inevitable Pakistani defeat is less useful than asking what victory would require. Protecting defined facilities offers measurable objectives. Permanently eliminating the Houthi threat could entail commitments far beyond what Pakistan initially intended—and costs that additional military capability cannot necessarily overcome.
Saudi financial assistance complicates Islamabad’s freedom of choice. The State Bank of Pakistan confirmed that a $3 billion Saudi deposit maturing in December 2025 was extended for another year. Such support gives Pakistan a substantial interest in maintaining Saudi confidence.
Saudi’s financial influence does not require an explicit threat. A government facing external financing pressures may find it difficult to reject security requests from an important creditor. The danger is that short-term economic reassurance encourages military obligations carrying much greater long-term costs.
Iran introduces a further risk. Pakistani attacks against an Iranian-supported movement could damage relations with a neighbouring country and generate security pressures closer to home. The Houthis also possess their own Yemeni objectives, and attacking them is not automatically equivalent to attacking Iran. Political escalation, however, can advance through perceptions and retaliation before governments agree on legal distinctions.
International law offers no reliable assurance that this confrontation would remain contained. Legal obligations persist, but their enforcement is uneven, and states may invoke self-defence while pursuing military objectives beyond their borders. Pakistan therefore cannot assume that legal distinctions between defending Saudi territory and attacking Houthi positions would restrain retaliation. If Tehran perceives Pakistani operations as threatening its interests, the danger would turn on strategic calculations, perceived threats and the risk of escalation—not simply on competing interpretations of the UN Charter. Shared religion and geographical proximity would offer no dependable protection against that outcome.
Pakistan’s domestic divisions make a widening conflict especially consequential. The supporters of imprisoned former prime minister Imran Khan began marching from Khyber Pakhtunkhwa toward Islamabad on October 4, demanding his release, hospital treatment and family access. An overseas campaign would impose additional demands on resources and political legitimacy amid an already polarized environment.
Parliament’s April 2015 resolution remains relevant. It supported neutrality in Yemen alongside solidarity against threats to Saudi territorial integrity and the holy sites, while urging diplomacy through the United Nations and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation. That distinction deserves renewed parliamentary examination before military commitments overtake political debate.
Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye should pursue an emergency OIC initiative linked to UN diplomacy, involving Iran and meaningful Yemeni participation. Reciprocal de-escalation, civilian protection and humanitarian access should take priority. Their collective influence should also sustain action for Palestinian rights rather than dissipate through another prolonged regional confrontation.
The Makkah Pact’s credibility will depend on whether it improves security. Secrecy about military methods cannot replace clarity about political objectives. Before Pakistan’s commitment deepens, its leaders must explain what they are defending, how far that obligation extends and how they intend to prevent it from becoming an open-ended war.

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Pakistan Reaffirms Commitment to Multilateralism, Peace and International Cooperation at the Executive Board of UNESCO

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Paris ( Imran Y. CHOUDHRY):- Advisor to the Prime Minister of Pakistan and Representative of Pakistan to UNESCO, Syed Tauqeer Hussain Shah, delivered Pakistan’s national statement at the 225th Session of the UNESCO Executive Board in Paris, France, reaffirming its steadfast commitment to multilateralism, international cooperation and the promotion of peace through dialogue and mutual understanding.

In his statement,

  • Underscored Pakistan’s firm support for multilateral institutions, South-South cooperation and collaborative efforts to address global challenges, particularly those confronting developing countries;
  • Highlighted the urgent need to protect human life, educational institutions and cultural heritage amid conflicts and crisis, especially in Gaza;

-Called for an international action plan to confront the challenge of out-of-school children;

  • Stressed the importance of equitable access to scientific knowledge, international scientific collaboration and reducing technological inequalities;

-Underlined the need to combat racism, misogyny, Islamophobia, disinformation and hate speech, while encouraging responsible and ethical governance of artificial intelligence and emerging technologies; and

  • Expressed support for institutional reform of UNESCO to enhance its effectiveness and impact worldwide.

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