war
Trump Begs Global Help Against Iran
Paris (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY) :- Former Press Secretary to the President, Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France, Former MD, SRBC Mr. Qamar Bashir analysis : Wars between unequal adversaries often begin with certainty. The stronger power assumes that victory is inevitable, while the weaker opponent is expected to collapse under overwhelming force. Military superiority, economic dominance, and technological advantage create a powerful belief that resistance will be short-lived. Yet history repeatedly shows that when confidence turns into overconfidence, wars rarely unfold according to the plans of the stronger side. The ongoing confrontation between the United States, Israel, and Iran appears to be unfolding along exactly this trajectory.
At the outset of the conflict, the United States projected absolute confidence in its military strength. With a defense budget approaching nine hundred billion dollars, eleven aircraft carriers, hundreds of advanced fighter aircraft, and the most sophisticated intelligence network ever assembled, Washington believed that it possessed the ability to overwhelm any adversary. Iran, by contrast, was portrayed as economically exhausted and strategically isolated. Decades of sanctions had strained its economy, and it lacked the type of conventional naval and air power that defines Western military dominance.
This imbalance shaped the early expectations of the war. The assumption in Washington and Tel Aviv was that Iran would not be able to sustain a prolonged confrontation against the combined military capabilities of the United States and Israel. The expectation was not merely victory but rapid victory. In the early hours and days of the conflict, official statements emphasized that Iranian defenses had been destroyed and that Western forces had achieved decisive superiority in the air.
This early confidence was reflected in repeated public statements made by President Donald J. Trump and senior U.S. defense officials during the opening phase of the war. Within the first hours and days of the conflict, Washington announced that Iranian military infrastructure had been severely damaged. Statements claimed that Iran’s air force capability had been neutralized, its missile and defensive systems crippled, and key commanders eliminated in precision strikes. The impression presented to the world was that Iran’s ability to conduct either defensive or offensive operations had been largely destroyed. Only much later in the conflict—nearly two weeks into the fighting—did Trump issue another dramatic statement following new airstrikes on Iran’s Kharg Island oil export facilities, declaring that Iran had “no ability to defend anything that we want to attack.”
Yet the battlefield soon began to contradict these declarations. Instead of collapsing, Iran responded with a strategy that avoided direct conventional confrontation and instead relied on asymmetric warfare. Ballistic missiles, long-range drones, and coordinated regional pressure became the core elements of Iran’s response. Missile barrages began reaching targets across the region, forcing Israeli defense systems such as Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow interceptors to operate under sustained pressure.
As the conflict continued, the geographic scope of the war began to expand beyond Israel itself. Strategic infrastructure across the Middle East suddenly became vulnerable. Oil facilities, refineries, and shipping routes across the Gulf faced rising threats. The war was no longer limited to direct military engagement between two adversaries; it had begun to affect the economic lifelines of the entire region.
The most critical pressure point quickly emerged in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the most strategically important maritime corridors in the world. Nearly twenty percent of the world’s oil supply and massive volumes of liquefied natural gas pass through this narrow channel each day. Any disruption in this corridor immediately sends shockwaves through the global economy.
As tensions escalated, shipping companies began rerouting vessels away from the region to avoid potential attacks. Insurance premiums for oil tankers increased dramatically, and global oil prices climbed sharply. These developments triggered a chain reaction across global supply chains, affecting industries ranging from transportation and petrochemicals to agriculture and food production.
Countries heavily dependent on imported energy began facing serious economic pressure. Rising fuel costs pushed inflation higher, and governments introduced emergency measures to conserve energy. In some countries, businesses reduced operations and institutions shifted to remote work in order to limit energy consumption. The consequences of the war were no longer confined to the battlefield; they were spreading through the global economy.
Europe also found itself increasingly vulnerable to the unfolding crisis. After reducing its dependence on Russian natural gas following the Ukraine conflict, many European nations had turned to liquefied natural gas imports from Qatar. Those shipments, however, must pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Any prolonged disruption in that waterway therefore threatens European energy security as well.
As the crisis deepened, a development occurred that many observers considered extraordinary. Despite earlier declarations that Iran had been “decimated,” the United States began asking other countries to help secure the Strait of Hormuz and escort commercial shipping through the region. Washington appealed to several nations—including the United Kingdom, France, Australia, Japan, the Philippines, South Africa, and even China—to help ensure safe maritime navigation.
This appeal created an obvious contradiction. If Iran had truly been defeated, why would the world’s most powerful military require international assistance to secure the region’s most important shipping route? The request itself suggested that the conflict had become far more complicated than initially anticipated.
The shifting narrative of the war added further confusion. The conflict did not begin with a single clearly defined objective. Instead, the justification evolved repeatedly as the war progressed. Initially, the war was presented as a mission to liberate the Iranian people from their leadership. Shortly afterward, the stated objective shifted toward eliminating Iran’s nuclear program and forcing Tehran to surrender enriched uranium and nuclear infrastructure.
As the conflict continued, the goals expanded further. The mission was no longer limited to nuclear facilities; it now included dismantling Iran’s ballistic missile and drone capabilities. Factories, research laboratories, and technological facilities connected to military development became targets. Later still, the narrative shifted once again, framing the war as necessary to protect global trade and ensure safe shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Each shift expanded the scope of the conflict while simultaneously raising new questions about its ultimate purpose. Analysts, policymakers, and even allied governments struggled to understand what the final objective of the war had become. The absence of a consistent strategic goal created uncertainty about how or when the conflict might end.
Meanwhile, the global economic consequences continued to intensify. Energy-importing nations faced rising inflation as fuel prices climbed. Fertilizer shortages threatened agricultural production in several regions. Petrochemical industries dependent on Gulf oil and gas supplies began slowing or shutting down operations, adding further strain to global supply chains.
Ironically, the country benefiting economically from rising global energy prices appeared to be the United States itself. Over the past decade, America has emerged as one of the world’s largest exporters of oil and liquefied natural gas. As global prices surged due to instability in the Middle East, American energy exports became more profitable. Increased military production also boosted the U.S. defense industry.
However, economic gains abroad do not necessarily translate into political stability at home. American voters historically react strongly to rising gasoline prices and inflation. If the cost of fuel and basic goods continues to rise, domestic political pressure could intensify rapidly.
Yet the most revealing lesson of this conflict lies in a simple but powerful reality. Had the United States been decisively winning the war, it would not be asking other countries to help manage the consequences. A nation confident of victory does not appeal to the world for assistance against a supposedly weaker opponent.
When a superpower begins asking others to step in, the myth of guaranteed victory begins to collapse. The war that was expected to demonstrate overwhelming power instead reveals the limits of military supremacy. The battlefield has a way of rewriting narratives that were once presented as certainty.
The Iran conflict therefore illustrates a timeless geopolitical truth. Power can start wars, but resolve and strategy often determine how they unfold. The strongest army may enter a war with confidence, but history remembers the moment when that confidence turns into appeals for help.
And in the end, when victory is truly assured, no help is needed—but when help is requested, the battlefield tells a very different story.
war
US Congress Impeaches Hegseth over Illegal War with Iran
Paris (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY) :- Former Press Secretary to the President, Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France, Former MD, SRBC Mr. Qamar Bashir analysis : The effort to impeach Secretary of Defense Peter Brian Hegseth places a fundamental question before the United States Congress: will constitutional limits govern the executive’s use of military force, or will presidential command become its own justification for war? Whether this effort succeeds or fails, its significance extends beyond one official’s future. It demands accountability for initiating and continuing hostilities against Iran and challenges the displacement of congressional authority by executive decisions carrying profound human, military, and economic consequences.
Representative Thomas Massie’s September 15 impeachment initiative presents a specific charge against Hegseth: that he knowingly implemented unlawful orders to wage war. The accusation concerns both the decision to introduce American forces into hostilities on February 28, 2026, and their continued employment afterward. Its central contention is that the administration acted without congressional authorization or an independent constitutional basis for immediate defensive action. This is the foundation of the impeachment effort, and it deserves to be stated fully and directly.
The resolution identifies three circumstances that were absent when Hegseth directed American forces into hostilities against Iran: Congress had not declared war against the Islamic Republic of Iran, congress had not enacted any specific statutory authorization for introducing United States armed forces into hostilities against Iran and no national emergency had been created by an Iranian attack upon the United States, its territories or possessions, or its armed forces.
These points form the factual basis of the allegation that the operation did not satisfy the circumstances identified in Section 2(c) of the War Powers Resolution. The charge goes further. It states that no imminent attack upon the United States, its territories, possessions, or armed forces existed.
In support, it invokes the March 17 resignation letter of Joe Kent, then director of the National Counterterrorism Center: “I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation.” Massie’s case therefore challenges both the absence of congressional authorization and the claim that immediate defensive necessity supplied an alternative basis for commencing hostilities.
From those premises, the resolution draws an unequivocal legal conclusion: the introduction of American forces was unlawful from its inception, and subsequent military actions continued that unlawful undertaking.
It alleges that Hegseth nevertheless knowingly employed the powers, personnel, weapons, and resources of the Department of Defense to execute the order. The accusation is therefore one of personal responsibility in implementing allegedly unlawful military action. It does not treat his subordinate position within the administration as sufficient to discharge his obligations.
Two forms of alleged abuse follow. First, Hegseth executed an unlawful order to commence hostilities despite the absence of the specified authorization or emergency. Second, he continued employing departmental personnel and resources after that initiation, without any subsequent declaration of war or specific statutory authorization.
The resolution characterizes this conduct as substituting unlawful executive action for Congress’s constitutional and statutory judgment. It seeks impeachment, Senate trial, removal, and disqualification from federal office on the grounds that his conduct was incompatible with his duties and the rule of law.
The charges against Hegseth are clear and understandable. The absence of an existential threat to the United States from Iran has been discussed repeatedly in my own articles and by journalists, analysts, Democrats, and other public representatives. Iran’s strategic calculations did not suggest a willingness to invite overwhelming destruction by launching an attack on American soil. The justification for initiating this war therefore demands the closest scrutiny.
The narrative recalls the manufactured justifications advanced for earlier interventions in Iraq, Libya, Syria, and Afghanistan. In Iran’s case, the grounds offered for war appear especially flimsy. Repetition does not make an allegation convincing, and the assertion of danger cannot substitute for a credible explanation of why war was necessary.
Hegseth is not the final decision-making authority. He acts under the direction and command of President Trump, the commander in chief. The accusations against the secretary therefore also raise questions about the president who authorized the policy. This effort may be a preview of a larger confrontation. If it succeeds, the president’s own vulnerability will become more apparent.
The war has also been brutal in its language. Hegseth’s derogatory remarks about Iran and its leadership fall below the dignity expected of his office. Similar language from the president compounds that failure. The United States has long associated its standing with human rights, civility, and respect for human dignity and honor. Those ideals are undermined when its leaders speak contemptuously of another country and its people.
Iran has now become central to the impeachment effort against Hegseth. Whether he survives politically or is removed, the charges threaten his standing. An official subjected to such scrutiny can suffer lasting damage among the public, international counterparts, colleagues, subordinates, and supporters. The same exposure may ultimately confront the president.
Here lies an essential strength of the American constitutional system: the executive can be called to account when it exceeds its lawful authority. Congress’s role in decisions concerning war cannot be displaced simply because the president commands the armed forces. Constitutional responsibility must remain meaningful when its exercise becomes politically difficult.
The administration’s declaration that the war had ended makes its subsequent conduct particularly troubling. The president and Hegseth communicated that position to Congress, yet military operations continued. Their own description of the situation did not bring the fighting to an end. More lives were lost, while expensive ammunition, missiles, and military systems continued to be consumed or destroyed without delivering the promised objectives.
The impeachment effort therefore comes at an important moment. It may provide the jolt necessary to confront the administration with the consequences of its decisions. Leaders who have become absorbed in their own assertions of power must recognize the reality on the ground. Iran cannot simply be defeated according to Washington’s preferred timetable or compelled to accept whatever outcome the administration demands.
The responsible course is to return to the pre-war position and address the destruction caused by the United States and Israel, including compensation for Iran. Continuing a destructive policy to avoid acknowledging failure only deepens the damage.
Such a change would not diminish the United States or erase its standing as a superpower. It would reaffirm the capacity to recognize mistakes, correct policy, and restore constitutional discipline. National strength includes the ability to reconsider a course that has failed and to measure conduct against principles more enduring than any administration.
Whether the impeachment effort succeeds or fails, its central challenge remains: American power must answer to the Constitution. The country’s credibility ultimately depends on its willingness to correct its course and uphold the cherished values of human dignity, human honor, and civility.
Any honest assessment must also preserve historical sequence and equal standards. Retaliation cannot be understood fully when the preceding action is omitted. American and Israeli operations require scrutiny alongside Iranian responses, including their purposes, scale, and consequences.
Proportionality demands attention to specific conduct and civilian harm. Iranian lives possess the same human worth as American lives. Military superiority cannot confer an unrestricted entitlement to inflict destruction, and national allegiance should not determine whose suffering deserves recognition or whose actions require justification.
Human dignity, human honor, and civility belong within this debate. Officials can oppose a government without humiliating its population or speaking casually about suffering. The credibility of the United States depends partly on whether its leaders uphold the values they invoke.
Whether Hegseth’s impeachment effort succeeds or fails, it presses an essential demand upon the American government—that executive power answer to law, military decisions withstand scrutiny, and leadership remain grounded in the cherished values of human dignity, human honor, and civility.
war
Denmark says Russian warship fired flares at military helicopter
Denmark has accused a Russian warship of firing two emergency flares at one of its helicopters while it was tracking the vessel in the Baltic Sea.
The Danish government has summoned the Russian ambassador over the incident, which it said happened during a “routine” monitoring operation on Monday.
Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen branded the Russian action “reckless” and said it was designed to “intimidate and divide”.
Russia said it would “thoroughly investigate” the incident but accused Danish helicopters of making “dangerous manoeuvres” near Russian warships.
It came on the same day that Nato forces shot down a drone over Lithuania in the latest security scare on the alliance’s eastern flank, where tensions remain high amid Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
In a statement detailing the incident in the Baltic Sea, the Danish armed forces said: “One of the air force’s Fennec helicopters was today fired at with flares during a routine photographic operation of a Russian frigate, which was located in international waters off Gedser.”
Of the two flares fired at the helicopter, one passed close to it, the statement added.
The Danish foreign ministry described the incident as “completely unacceptable”.
Danish Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen accused Russia of “gradually shifting the boundary for what they consider acceptable behaviour”, adding: “That is something we cannot accept.”
In a statement, Russian ambassador Vladimir Barbin said Moscow would “thoroughly investigate all the circumstances of the incident” but accused the Danish helicopter of carrying out “provocative actions”.
Barbin said this was “not the first time that Danish Air Force helicopters have carried out dangerous manoeuvres near Russian warships”.
He said he had complained about a similar incident last year, adding that the latest event showed that “communication problems lie not with the Russian Navy’s vessels, but with the Danish side”.
Russia’s behaviour was “reckless and dangerous,” the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen said in a post on social media.
This incident – together with the drone over Lithuania – was “part of a broader pattern of Russian aggression and provocation against Europe”, she added.
Danish Defence Minister Jeppe Bruus told Reuters no attempt to make contact with helicopters had been made by the frigate’s crew.

Overnight, Nato fighter pilots shot down a drone that entered Lithuania’s airspace.
Authorities said the drone likely entered southern Lithuania, near the second-largest city of Kaunas, from neighbouring Belarus shortly after midnight on Tuesday.
The origins of the drone have yet to be determined, the Lithuanian national crisis management centre said, but the country’s president pointed to increased Russian aggression in recent months.
President Gitanas Nausėda wrote on X: “With Russia intensifying its aggression against Ukraine, such readiness is vital for our region. Together with our Nato Allies, Lithuania will defend its airspace.”
Lithuania shares a large part of its southern and eastern border with Belarus, a key Russian ally.
Poland also announced there had been “aviation operations” in its airspace on Monday night “due to the activity of Russian Federation’s jet-powered unmanned aerial vehicles conducting strikes on Ukrainian territory”.
It said the overnight operations were of a “preventive nature” and aimed at “securing airspace and its protection, especially in areas adjacent to threatened regions”.
Nato jets have been scrambled several times to shoot down stray Ukrainian drones that have crossed into Baltic countries Estonia and Latvia this year.
Taken From BBC News
war
Iran Checkmates the Hormuz Bypass
Paris (Imran Y. CHOUDHRY) :- Former Press Secretary to the President, Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France, Former MD, SRBC Mr. Qamar Bashir analysis : The war with Iran is no longer merely a contest of missiles, aircraft and naval power. It has become a struggle over the arteries through which the world’s energy flows. For months, the United States, Israel and regional producers have searched for ways to reduce dependence on the Strait of Hormuz. Israel has proposed pipelines carrying Gulf energy westward to its Mediterranean ports, while other projects envisage moving Iraqi and regional oil toward the Mediterranean. But events of recent days demonstrate a fundamental weakness in this strategy: bypassing one vulnerable chokepoint does not abolish geography. It merely transfers the vulnerability somewhere else.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made his vision explicit in March. He proposed oil and gas pipelines running westward across the Arabian Peninsula to Israeli Mediterranean ports, arguing that such infrastructure could eliminate dependence on maritime chokepoints.
The broader search for alternative corridors has also involved proposals linking Iraqi energy resources with Syria’s Mediterranean coast. These projects potentially create enormous commercial opportunities for transit countries, ports, construction companies and international energy corporations. The contest, therefore, is not simply over oil. It is increasingly over who will build, operate and influence the infrastructure carrying that oil.
Saudi Arabia already possessed the most important working example of the bypass strategy. Its 1,200-kilometre East-West Pipeline, or Petroline, carries crude from the kingdom’s eastern producing regions across the Arabian Peninsula to Yanbu on the Red Sea. As Hormuz became increasingly dangerous, this pipeline became enormously important. Roughly four million barrels per day were moving through the system, allowing Saudi Arabia to export without sending those barrels through Hormuz.
Then came the drones. Saudi authorities say several drones launched from Iraqi territory attacked the East-West Pipeline system in the Riyadh and Madinah regions. The attacks caused injuries and damage and forced authorities to shut the pipeline as a precaution while technical teams assessed its safety. The entire 1,200-kilometre pipeline did not need to be physically destroyed. A sophisticated energy artery depends upon pumping stations, controls and associated infrastructure. Damage at strategically important points can interrupt the entire flow.
The economic consequences could be enormous. Saudi Arabia reportedly has enough exportable crude stored at Yanbu to maintain current flows for only about five to seven days if Petroline remains closed. After that, as much as four percent of global oil supply could be jeopardised.
Repair estimates remain uncertain, ranging from days to weeks. The important strategic lesson is therefore not whether Petroline can eventually be repaired. Of course it can. The lesson is that the principal functioning escape route from Hormuz has itself demonstrated its vulnerability.
This is where Iran’s strategic depth becomes important. Tehran does not require conventional naval supremacy over every kilometre of Hormuz to exercise extraordinary leverage there. Commercial shipping operates according to risk. One successful missile or drone attack can force shipowners, insurers and cargo operators to reconsider whether a voyage remains commercially acceptable.
The same logic increasingly applies at the other end of the Arabian Peninsula. Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis have advanced along the Red Sea coast and reached Perim Island, situated inside Bab el-Mandeb—the narrow gateway connecting the Red Sea with the Gulf of Aden. Saudi Arabia’s Petroline may bypass Hormuz by terminating at Yanbu, but tankers sailing from the Red Sea toward Asian markets still confront the geography surrounding Bab el-Mandeb. The alternative route therefore possesses a chokepoint of its own.
This is what I describe as Iran’s strategic checkmate of the Hormuz-bypass concept. I do not use “checkmate” to mean that Iran possesses uncontested sovereignty over two international waterways or has defeated American military power. My argument is economic and strategic. Iran and forces aligned with it possess sufficient capabilities across different theatres to make alternative energy routes vulnerable. In commercial transportation, the ability credibly to threaten passage can sometimes be almost as consequential as physically occupying it.
The deeper story concerns money and power. Every new pipeline creates winners. Construction companies receive contracts. Energy corporations acquire projects. Transit countries collect revenues. Ports gain business. Investors obtain returns. Countries hosting terminals acquire additional strategic importance. Israel’s proposed Mediterranean corridor could enhance its position as an energy bridge. American companies participating in Middle Eastern energy and infrastructure projects can obtain major commercial opportunities. Regional governments, meanwhile, seek diversified routes that reduce their dependence on waterways vulnerable to war.
Yet the cruel paradox is that Middle Eastern oil-producing countries risk carrying a disproportionate share of the immediate damage. Their pipelines become targets. Their export terminals require protection. Their production revenues become vulnerable to interruption. Their cities face missile and drone threats, while insurance and transportation costs rise. Saudi Arabia’s present predicament illustrates the danger: an infrastructure system designed to provide strategic security from Hormuz has itself become exposed to the expanding battlefield.
The widening conflict around Bab el-Mandeb demonstrates another limitation of purely military calculations. A superpower can deploy aircraft carriers, destroyers, missile defences and tens of thousands of personnel, yet commercial shipping requires something more difficult to guarantee: confidence. A shipping company contemplating a billion-dollar vessel and valuable cargo does not ask merely which navy is stronger. It asks whether the ship can complete its voyage safely, whether insurance remains available and whether the potential profit justifies the possibility of catastrophic loss.
That is why geography continues to defeat attempts to declare Hormuz irrelevant. A pipeline across Saudi Arabia substitutes pumping stations and hundreds of kilometres of exposed infrastructure for the strait. A Syrian corridor would traverse another politically sensitive landscape. An Israeli Mediterranean corridor would require enormous investment, security and regional cooperation. And Red Sea exports must still confront the security environment surrounding Bab el-Mandeb. There is no magic line on a map capable of removing geopolitical risk.
The Iran war has consequently evolved into something much larger than the conflict with which it began. It is simultaneously a military confrontation, an energy war and a contest over the future architecture of global petroleum transportation. The question is no longer simply who produces Middle Eastern oil. Increasingly, it is who builds the pipelines, controls the ports, protects the waterways and possesses leverage between the wellhead and the consumer.
The architects of alternative corridors hoped to diminish Iran’s greatest geographical advantage by diminishing Hormuz itself. Instead, the expanding conflict is demonstrating that energy routes cannot simply escape geography. Close one chokepoint and another becomes indispensable. Build a pipeline and the pumping stations become strategic assets. Shift exports toward the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb assumes greater importance.
That is the strategic irony of this war. The attempt to make Hormuz irrelevant may instead have demonstrated just how difficult it is to make Iran’s geography irrelevant. The map of the Middle East has not changed. What has changed is the number of places on that map where the world’s energy lifelines can now be threatened.
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